The guardian: Google unmanned driving a car or bring the next round of unemployment tide

The guardian, a British newspaper, online articles recently, said Google intelligent car represents the next wave of the arrival of the new technology, and the new technology will be completing many previous must by talent can finish work, and so reduce the driving skills of value, bring the next round of unemployment spring. The following is a summary of this paper

Almost in casual, the human world across a significant threshold. Last week, the California governor Jerry Brown (Jerry Brown) signed a bill, announced that since 2015 will allow unmanned driving on the highway in California. For most see this news of people, they may use disdain mocked. There are some people will be as it is for science and technology human too worship - "like the a few surface flags on the surface of the moon".

Brown is the governor in Google mountain view headquarters to sign the bill. Chose in Google headquarters this ceremony, because the company has always been a pioneer in the field of intelligent car. Over the past few years, Google refitted unmanned Toyota prius hybrid has been driving on the highway in California for a long time. These intelligent car mileage nearly 300000 miles, and only a traffic accident record - that the cause of the accident is a driver open car crashed into unmanned cars. Google driverless cars now already unmanned walk 50000 miles.

In mountain view at the ceremony, Google co-founder sergei Boolean (Sergey Brin) announced that Google plan in the next five years will be no one to drive a car to the market. As a response to critics, he pointed out that no one to drive a car than human control car safer. I think this view is reliable: the United States area every year because of the traffic accident died toll to 40000, many of which (or most) and relevant human error. "No one to drive a car have change the potential of human life," brin said. "The current traffic system can't meet all needs, such as blind, children and the elderly, or an intoxicated person who commits a crowd, etc." He also argues that, artificial control car efficiency relative low: automatic driving a car can make better use of road, reduce the size of the parking lot, because they can more accurately than humans to stop the car.

Despite Google advertising not to say, let us take a serious look at Google real achievement. Google engineers proved to us, as long as have intelligence software and all kinds of sensor, the machine can complete people usually think need people's ability to operation of the complicated and tedious task. This means that we about machine can do, cannot do what needs to be updated concept has come to time.

This is not just about in automobiles. Economists more and more difficult to explain, why in the United States after a recession period, create new employment rate is still far lower than expected? The United States unemployment population average unemployment time has shot up to 40 weeks, is ever a post-war economic recovery period the number two times. Economics theory and history tells us, when the enterprise growing or to profitability after that, they will buy equipment and hire workers. But now that was not the case. Enterprise is still in the purchase of equipment, but they don't hire workers.

So the work where to go? As usual, economists gives a variety of theory. One of the most shocking should belong to the Massachusetts institute of technology scholar Eric cloth lu Noel husband pine (Erik Brynjolfsson) and Andrew MaiKaFei (Andrew McAfee) in the man and Machine Race "(Race Against the Machine) book expressed the opinion: Google intelligent car contains computing technique progress represents the next wave of the arrival of the new technology, and the technology will reduce the whole society job opportunities. Many now is considered very security abilities (such as driving) value in the future or decline, could eventually worthless, at least in the employment market is so.

Perhaps you do not recognize Raymond · library this will (Ray Kurzweil) "technology singularity theory" -- that is one day artificial intelligence will beyond human intelligence, but you have to admit that cloth lu Noel husband pine and MaiKaFei theory may have its attractions. According to Moore theory, every 18 months chip calculation ability is doubled, and the theory are still effective. Many once we think need powerful artificial intelligence to do things, and ultimately proved so long as has the powerful computation ability can be completed. For example on the iPhone Siri, or now I write this article used Dragon Dictate dictation software.

There are some who question that intelligent car experience too too insipid, most of people don't like to drive. But don't ignore such a fact, in industrial countries, the car has already reached the peak, the number of drive is to drop year by year. Serious traffic jams drive to reduce the bring of fun, young people no longer like a movie American graffiti described in the age of the person be so keen on owning a car.